Business
Credit card trends continue normalizing in February, nearing prepandemic level (NYSE:BFH)

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Credit card metrics for February were broadly consistent with trends over the past few months and have gradually continued to normalize, with the exception of Bread Financial (NYSE:BFH).
But debit and delinquency trends are still there generally below prepandemic levels, Baird noted. “Given the broader sell-off in financial stocks combined with healthy credit quality, we would continue to benefit from weakness in Capital One Financial (NYSE:COF) and American Express (NYSE:AXP),” said analyst David George.
Jefferies noted that claims were down 1% M/M due to seasonal factors typically seen at this time of year. “The current macro/inflation environment continues to impact the non-prime cohorts more, while the prime cohorts appear stable,” said analyst John Hecht.
Wolfe Research maintained its underweight position in card issuer Capital One (COF), Explore Finance (NYSE:DFS), Synchrony Financial (NYSE:SYF) and Bread Financial (BFH) aCentre County Reporter this month’s credit data.
Note that bread Financial (BFH) is the only credit card issuer with delinquency and net charge-off rates higher than before the February 2020 pandemic, as shown in the table below.
“Default rate normalization continues to exceed seasonality,” said analyst Bill Carcache. “We expect default rates to continue to rise in the coming months, before accelerating later in the year as the impact of last year’s rate hikes lead to a further slowdown and lead to an increase in initial claims.”
Meanwhile, KBW remains broadly bullish on card issuers as “these companies justify a premium valuation compared to the regional banking environment.”
2023 | 2022 | 2020 | ||||||
Pursue | ticker | Type | February | January | December | 3-month average | February | change in bps |
capital one | COF | crime | 3.72% | 3.65% | 3.43% | 3.60% | 3.88% | -16 |
debit | 4.16% | 3.81% | 3.57% | 3.85% | 4.68% | -52 | ||
American Express | AXP | crime | 1.10% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.03% | 1.60% | -50 |
debit | 1.40% | 1.50% | 1.20% | 1.37% | 2.60% | -120 | ||
JP Morgan | NYSE:JPM | crime | 0.88% | 0.83% | 0.76% | 0.82% | 1.14% | -26 |
debit | 1.33% | 1.17% | 1.24% | 1.25% | 2.20% | -87 | ||
synchronization | SYF | crime | 3.90% | 3.80% | 3.70% | 3.80% | 4.50% | -60 |
adjusted charge | 4.70% | 4.30% | 3.40% | 4.13% | 5.30% | -60 | ||
Discover | DFS | crime | 2.74% | 2.67% | 2.53% | 2.65% | 2.64% | -10 |
debit | 3.40% | 2.81% | 2.54% | 2.92% | 3.84% | -44 | ||
bread financial | BFH | crime | 6.00% | 5.80% | 5.50% | 5.77% | 5.90% | 10 |
debit | 7.80% | 6.70% | 6.70% | 7.07% | 6.80% | 100 | ||
Citigroup | NYSE:C | crime | 1.12% | 1.04% | 1.01% | 1.06% | 1.58% | -46 |
debit | 1.55% | 1.50% | 1.34% | 1.46% | 2.64% | -109 | ||
Bank of America | NYSE:BAK | crime | 1.14% | 1.09% | 1.03% | 1.09% | 1.58% | -44 |
debit | 1.61% | 1.50% | 1.43% | 1.51% | 2.55% | -94 | ||
avg crime | 2.58% | 2.49% | 2.35% | 2.47% | 2.85% | |||
avg debit | 3.24% | 2.91% | 2.68% | 2.94% | 3.83% |
SA employee Harrison Schwarz is cautious about Capital One (COF) on the Potential for defaults in 2023.
Business
DOE calls on Filipinos to join Earth Hour
MANILA – The Department of Energy (DOE) has called on Filipinos to participate in Earth Hour to increase the country’s energy efficiency and help mitigate the adverse effects of climate change.
“Behaviour change may seem like a challenge, but there are relatively simple things we as residents, businesses and local governments can do to be energy efficient, increase resilience to climate change and pave the way to a more sustainable future,” Energy Minister Raphael Lotilla said in a statement on Friday.
Earth Hour, an annual event encouraging people to simultaneously turn off unnecessary lights for 60 minutes, takes place today, March 25, from 8:30 p.m. to 9:30 p.m
Lotilla noted that this symbolic lights-out event served as an “occasional reminder of how simple everyday practices can have a huge impact in reducing our energy use.”
The DOE reported that the country saved 65.32 megawatts (MW) in last year’s Earth Hour, with Luzon covering more than half of the total at 35.26 MW.
Mindanao saved 15.3 MW while the Visayas recorded 14.76 MW.
Last year’s numbers are lower than the electricity saved in 2021, which stood at 73.01 MW, DOE data show.
The highest energy savings were recorded before the pandemic in 2019 at 195.34 MW.
The DOE hopes the country could save more this year as more Filipinos attend the event.
“Together action could create a safer, more resilient and more sustainable future. By turning off our lights for an hour, we can significantly improve energy use, raise public awareness, change behaviors and help reduce the impact of global warming on this planet,” the agency said.
Earth Hour began in 2007 in Sydney, Australia, where more than 2.2 million people turned off their lights for an hour.
For its part, the DOE encouraged Filipinos to minimize their electricity consumption during peak hours: 11 a.m. to 12 p.m., 2 p.m. to 3 p.m., and 6 p.m. to 7 p.m
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Business
SEC raised concerns over hedge fund Rokos aCentre County Reporter losing bond bets

The US Securities and Exchange Commission has raised concerns about Rokos Capital Management aCentre County Reporter the hedge fund was forced to pledge large amounts of cash to its banks as collateral when an outsized bet on US Treasury bonds backfired earlier this month.
SEC Chairman Gary Gensler raised the hedge fund in talks with UK regulators this week aCentre County Reporter he faced bigger margin calls than his peers, according to people familiar with the talks.
The US regulator does not oversee the London-based companies Rocos but is on high alert for tensions in financial markets aCentre County Reporter a series of recent explosions in the banking sector. UK regulators agreed to keep an eye on the hedge fund, one of the people said.
The talk highlights official fears that the rapid unwinding of concentrated hedge fund bets could exacerbate tensions in the US Treasury market, which underpins asset prices around the world.
The episode stems from the failure of Silicon Valley Bank earlier this month and concerns about the bank’s overall health US regional banking system. ACentre County Reporter the collapse of the SVB, investors snapped up government bonds, betting that the US Federal Reserve would slow the pace of interest rate hikes to shore up financial stability.
As bond prices rallied, many hedge funds were flat-footed in the rally, but industry participants say Rokos was one of the biggest short-term losers. The fund, which has about $15.5 billion under management, was down 12.5 percent this month, the Financial Times reported March 17, as several counterparties called for more assets to be raised to meet margin calls, two said people familiar with the matter.
However, counterparties contacted by the FT said they were not concerned about Rokos’ ability to meet the margin calls.
Unlike many other macro hedge funds, which tend to be more diversified, the vast majority of Rokos’ leverage is in the government bond markets.
Billionaire Chris Rokos, who co-founded hedge fund Brevan Howard before starting his own business, made headlines in late 2021 when he was caught off guard by a massive sell-off in short-term sovereign debt. He then reduced the market risk he took on, making more than 50 percent over the past year before this month’s losses.
Rokos, the UK’s Financial Conduct Authority, the Bank of England and the SEC all declined to comment.
Business
RIL names V Srikanth as new CFO; Alok Agarwal as Senior Advisor to Chairman

Mukesh Ambani-led trust industries Ltd (RIL) appointed Venkatachari Srikanth as its new chief financial officer (CFO) on Friday, succeeding Alok Agarwal, who turned 65 and had served the company for 30 years, according to a stock exchange release by RIL.
Agarwal, who joined Reliance in 1993 and was appointed CFO in 2005, moved to the position of senior advisor to the company’s chairman and chief executive officer, assisting him on a variety of strategic issues.
Both new roles will take effect from June 1, 2023, the company said in the announcement.
V Srikanth (joint CFO since 2011) has shared part of the responsibilities of the CFO position with Alok Agarwal in recent years. Srikanth was there RIL for the last 14 years. Previously he worked for Citi Group for two decades in foreign exchange and derivatives and later became Head of Markets.
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